The subject of the association between alcoholic beverages and CHD is too large to examine in this review.
However, it is natural to look for a French-based study since a protective effect should be significant if wine is
part of the paradox. There appears to be only one prospective (follow-up) study, published in 1999 [13]. For
wine as a protective factor in CHD mortality, 22-32 grams of alcohol a day roughly halved the risk and resulted in
a 33% reduction of all-cause mortality, but as is frequently found, the benefits disappear with heavier
consumption. When these results are compared with a very recent combined analysis of 34 prospective studies
[14], it appears that the risk reduction in the French study was larger. While the preponderance of evidence
seems to favor the protective hypothesis, critics point to the possibility of confounding. The position of the
doubters was strengthened recently with the publication of a study based on telephone interviews with over
250,000 U.S. adults. Data was gathered as to prevalence of cardiovascular (CVD) risks factors among
nondrinkers and moderate drinkers. Of the 30 CVD-related risk factors assessed, 90% were significantly more
prevalent among nondrinkers. The authors comment that these findings suggest that some or all of the apparent
protective effect of moderate drinking may be due to residual or unmeasured confounding [15]. Thus when the
studies showing benefit are summarized to indicate that one to three drinks a day are associated with about a
20% reduction of CHD risk [14], this perhaps is an overestimate. It appears that the connection between wine
and the French Paradox, while still a hypothesis, is to some extent evidence based. Arguments regarding
biological plausibility, while interesting, strengthen but do not prove the point. To settle the alcohol and wine
question would require randomized trials which would almost certainly never get past ethics committees.
However, if there is a protective effect, then studies are clear on one point, the French are maximizing the
benefit by drinking for the most part in adequate but moderate amounts, with meals, and they spread the intake
more or less evenly over the week.
Finally, there is the matter of fat. If fats and especially saturated fats are in fact not very dangerous or even neutral in the context of heart disease, then this weakens considerably one of the two pillars on which the French Paradox rests. The French Paradox had its origin at the height of the anti-fat era when many disorders, but especially cancer and heart disease were attributed to fat consumption. Thus it was easy to point a finger at the French diet and pronounce it heart-unfriendly simply because of the high content of fat, and especially saturated fat. In other parts of the world, and especially in North America, low-fat food and low-fat diets became the rage and fat calories were replaced by large amounts of refined carbohydrates. Low-fat diets had a tendency to reduce HDL cholesterol levels and elevate triglycerides levels, two trends not viewed as beneficial to heart health. Also, high intakes of refined carbohydrates increased the risk of developing insulin resistance and eventually type 2 diabetes, neither of which is favorable to heart health. The French did not buy into the low-fat revolution or low-fat foods, but held steady on the traditional course of a high fat diet. Part of the reason may simply be the attitudes about food and health discussed above. Space does not permit examining the heart disease/dietary fat issue in any detail (see the Archives for an extensive discussion of this subject in the research review titled Dietary Fat and Heart Disease, Is There a Connection? The review appeared in the November-December 2002 issue of International Health News and still seems current today). However, the following brief discussion appears relevant to the French Paradox question. By the beginning of the new millennium, the view that saturated fat was bad in the context of CHD was firmly established as a dogma and few dared to raise questions that would embarrass the establishment. In 2001 Gary Taubes ruffled some feathers with an article in the journal Science titled "The Soft Science of Dietary Fat," in which he raised serious questions about the evidence for the fat/heart connection and the merits of low-fat diets [16] (available free - Google "Gary Taubes fat"). The establishment's reply to this "shot over the bow" was in a letter to Science [17] which was immediately criticized in the same journal [18]. It was pointed out that the two reviews cited as refuting Taubes' position either had no references at all or had references that for the most part did not support the defense. While Taubes' Science article received considerable media attention, a much more high-profile article was published a year later in the New York Times Magazine [19] with the provocative title "What If It's All Been A Big Fat Lie?", which again raised serious question about the low-fat dogma and low-fat diets. This article contained quotes from respected experts (it is also free via the same Google search). In connection with the French Paradox there are two issues: (a) the CHD danger of high fat diets; and especially (b) the CHD dangers of saturated fat. Already in 1998, Ravnskov published an extensive review of this question in the Journal of Clinical Epidemiology [20]. He was not able to find conclusive evidence to justify the claim that saturated fats were bad. About the same time, Hu et al from Harvard published a paper on dietary fat intake and the risk of CHD in women which was based on a large prospective study [21]. If one looks at their Table 3 in which results adjusted for confounding are presented, saturated fat intake up to almost 19% (quintile median) of total energy was found to not be statistically associated with CHD risk (heart attack or fatal CHD). Nor was a high intake of total fat significant, but a significant inverse association (beneficial) was found for polyunsaturated fat, and enhanced risk was seen for trans fat. No association was found with cholesterol intake up to 275 mg/day (quintile median). Hu et al point out that the results of prospective epidemiologic studies of fat and CHD have been inconsistent, with 2 finding a positive association and 6 finding no association. Saturated fat increases LDL levels, but it also increases HDL, the so-called good cholesterol. Obviously there is the potential for these two effects to compensate. Yet the increase in LDL levels caused by saturated fat is at the heart of the establishment case against this particular fat. Saturated fat, incidentally, is a mixture of fats, most of which do not raise LDL [16]. The study by Hu et al has recently been updated with a total of 20 years follow-up [22]. The conclusion was the same - "Intakes of total fat, saturated fat and monosaturated fat had no clear relation to CHD regardless of age." Three recent studies are relevant. A study from Denmark reported in 2004 reached the same conclusion, this time for both men and women. No statistically significant associations were found for either men or women between the intake of saturated or total fat and CHD [23]. This was in spite of not adjusting for confounding to the extent done by the Harvard researchers. The second study is the now famous dietary modification trial which was part of the Women's Health Initiative (WHI). Dietary intervention that reduced total fat intake and increased the intake of vegetables, fruits and grains did not significantly reduce the risk of CHD [24]. Finally, in a multicenter study that included Harvard, it was reported in 2004 that for postmenopausal women with relatively low fat intake, a greater saturated fat intake was associated with less progression of coronary atherosclerosis [25]. This result may not be universally applicable since many of the subjects had CHD, were hypertensive or had diabetes, but it is in the wrong direction if one believes the conventional wisdom and the study included women at high risk but free of CHD.
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The current recommendation by the National Cholesterol Education Program for men and women at high risk for
CHD is that the intake of saturated fat should be reduced to 7% of total energy intake. The American Heart
Association (AHA), in its just-published 2007 guidelines for CHD prevention in women, calls for limiting saturated
fat intake to 10% and if possible 7% [26]. One might ask, where are the statistically significant data to back up
these recommendations? Lots of interested individuals have looked for the data, but don't seem to be able to
find it [27]! In the AHA guidelines, they appear to give only one reference directly related to saturated fat and
women, a small British study of 2002 [28]. It found no relationship for men, but found risk for women, although
the data were not adjusted for confounding to the extent done in the much larger and longer Harvard study
mentioned above, which found no connection between CHD risk and fat or saturated fat for women [21,22].
Aside from the WHI study mentioned above, the AHA document does not include in its bibliography any of the
negative studies concerning saturated fat and CHD, and in particular the Harvard study, and the guidelines
obviously ignore all of these results. Also, this AHA guideline is for women, and yet two of the studies cited
concerning diet and CHD risk were done only on men and the British study of both men and women cited found
no connection for CHD and saturated fat in men anyway! Thus important studies, including a highly relevant one
from the premier center of nutritional epidemiology in the world, are ignored and more or less irrelevant ones
cited. The guidelines are titled "evidence based."
Thus the French Paradox appears to be based on an exaggerated and probably even totally wrong view of the importance of dietary fat in general and saturated fat in particular in connection with the risk of CHD. Therefore the paradox may in fact be a fantasy. However, the mystery of the low CHD mortality would remain, and the possible explanations advanced above would still be relevant since they are not dependent on the fat hypothesis. Some may find the above discussion contains sufficient reasons to imitate selected features of the French lifestyle. For those for whom this notion has appeal, the two books cited above will provide valuable and detailed guidance. |
REFERENCES
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