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LOW-FAT VS. LOW-CARBOHYDRATE DIETS
With the advent of the Atkins diet and the subsequent explosion of related low-carbohydrate diets (LCD), interest gradually developed in conducting controlled studies to evaluate this diet and its officially sanctioned and promoted competitor, the low-fat diet (LFD). There have now been an amazing number of studies and space does not permit a detailed review. But a general consensus seems to be developing.7 It is consistently observed that LCDs result in more initial weight loss than LFDs. Many explanations have been advanced, but the only one that does not appear to be refuted is that the LCD reduces spontaneous energy intake frequently without the dieter being aware this is happening. When comparison studies carefully equalize energy intake and take into account physical activity, the weight loss differences become small or negligible, but this is very difficult to do in studies with free-living populations who are monitored by interviews. Studies of this question are also confused by LCDs that are not really low-carbohydrate. But the evidence at present shifts the emphasis back to calories rather than the distribution of macronutrients as the main concern in weight loss. But when one is considering weight gain, there is still the viscous circle of high intake of high glycemic carbohydrates stimulating insulin secretion and fat storage and ultimately increasing insulin resistance which makes matters worse. The LCD appears to result in an improved lipid profile, especially with regard to triglycerides (dramatic decrease) and HDL (significant increase), and an improvement in indicators of healthy glucose metabolism. The very low carbohydrate diet has been the traditional (old fashion) approach to dietary control of blood sugar levels in diabetics and prediabetics, both short-term and long-term (HbA1c), although this is not recognized or promoted in modern times by professional organizations, probably because of the belief that the increased fat content is dangerous and the low carbohydrate aspect is viewed as unacceptable to many patients. Pills are the modern answer with insulin injections used to "cover" high carbohydrate intake. It has become increasingly more difficult to justify opposition to the elevated fat content of the LCD. As Mozzaffarian and Ludwig point out in a recent commentary, the proportion of total energy from fat appears largely unrelated to the risk of cancer, cardiovascular disease, diabetes or obesity and saturated fat, targeted by nearly all governmental agencies and professional organizations, has little relation to heart disease provided one is dealing with most prevailing dietary patterns.8 A meta-analysis just published confirms this view.9 No significant evidence was found for the view that dietary saturated fat is associated with increased risk of coronary heart disease or cardiovascular disease and a study from Japan has recently demonstrated saturated fat was inversely associated with both hemorrhage and ischemic stroke subtypes.10 Many in mainstream medicine or nutritional science still do not agree with this view and the food industry is still capitalizing big-time on the notion that fat is bad. THE KETOGENIC DIET The extreme form of the low-carbohydrate diet is the ketogenic diet. Through a very low intake of carbohydrates, and a high intake of fat, the metabolism shifts to using fat as the principal energy source. The true ketogenic diet is generally associated with the treatment of epilepsy and was developed in the 1920s for pediatric application. The induction and low-carbohydrate phases of the Atkins diet resemble a ketogenic diet, but there is no limitation on energy intake aside from that inadvertently instituted by the patient. Atkins describes the indication phase in terms of lipolysis, the burning of fat and this process is naturally accompanied by the production of ketones, thus ketosis. This is not to be confused with diabetic ketoacidosis which occurs in insulin-deficient individuals with out of control blood sugar levels. In view of the studies that find similar weight loss from either low-carbohydrate or low-fat diets if there is identical energy intake and physical exercise, there would appear to be no need to push carbohydrates down to the point where ketosis can be observed, for example, through the presence of ketones in the urine. In the Atkins diet, the induction phase carbohydrate intake is about 20 grams, which can produce mild ketosis in some. By comparison, a low-carbohydrate diet with 20% or 30% of energy derived from carbohydrates would, for an energy reduced diet of say 1500 calories, involve 75 to 112 g per day which would not be a ketogenic diet and exceeds the carbohydrate intake during most of the Atkins protocol. Aside from bad breath and constipation, Atkins found no evidence of side effects that merited concern, and there have been a number of controlled studies of this diet which also do not report serious side effects. Therapeutic ketogenic diets should only be undertaken under the supervision of a physician experienced in this approach. There are potentially serious side effects, the most common of which can be identified by various blood and urine tests.11 THE HALL-JORDAN MODEL If it is indeed true that the two limiting types of diet, low carbohydrate and low fat, produce approximately the same weight loss and problems with sustaining the loss, and that differences are probably due to absence of equivalence in energy intake, compliance or physical activity, then the focus shifts simply to the caloric intake, body composition and its relation to metabolism, and energy expenditures through metabolism, exercise and daily physical activity. It is important to recognise that what happens during calorie restriction and/or increased exercise is not a steady weight loss but weight changes which steadily diminish, and if the calorie deficit is maintained, a new constant weight will be reached which represents a metabolic adjustment, mostly due to the decrease in fat mass. The failure of most studies to achieve this new equilibrium appears to be a manifestation of the short term of the intervention relative to the follow-up followed by an inadequate or flawed protocol for weight maintenance. In the model to be discussed, the final new steady weight is the principal issue, not how long it takes to get there. A model recently published by Hall and Jordan in the American Journal of Clinical Nutrition addresses these issues in what appears to be a highly rigorous fashion and the end result is a set of online calculators which enable patients and/or their physicians to estimate the caloric deficit required to reach a new but sustainable weight.3,12 The input concepts and parameters are simple enough, but the mathematics which we will not to worry about is a bit complicated.3 This model is much more complex than the 500 calories a day equals a pound a week or the tables easily found on the internet giving the miles one must walk or run to for a given caloric expenditure. The Hall-Jordan model takes into account the initial weight, the energy input from food, the thermic effect associated with the energy input, the fat mass and fat-free mass as variables during the weight loss, and the influence of physical activity, its dependence on body weight and its changes introduced by the weight loss protocol. The various weighting factors are derived from a number of relevant studies and the final model was validated by comparison with controlled diet studies where the required information was available. The agreement seems impressive. For the correlation of measured vs. predicted steady-state weight after intervention the coefficient was 0.83. It was 0.91 for the measured vs. the predicted change in energy intake required to achieve the observed change in body weight to achieve the new steady state. For studies on humans, these are remarkably good correlations. The authors provide a table as an example. Full text of this paper is in the public domain at the journal website.13 The online calculators based on the Hall-Jordan model are also of interest. Of the four with links on the cited web page,12 the one easiest to use is the one that only requires input of gender, age, height, initial weight and the change in energy intake contemplated (a negative sign before the number is required). This particular calculator also requires input changes in physical activity. This last factor is introduced with a parameter called PAL and the input form has a box providing guidance for this number according to the level of activity running from sedentary to very active. A number of results are then calculated, the most interesting of course being the new steady-state weight expected. Note that these calculators use the proper unit kcal whereas in this discussion we have used the term calorie as equivalent, in keeping with lay nutritional parlance. The Hall-Jordan model appears to represent considerable progress with a very serious problem which is that if one looks at the hundreds of diet studies in an attempt to gain insight and guidance as to what to do to lose weight in general, the only result will be confusion. There is a grand mixture of junk science, studies with unrealistic protocols (total daily energy intake of only 500 calories, i.e. a deficit of 1000 to 2500 calories per day), macronutrient distributions that are all over the map and frequently identified with vague terms, etc. A real zoo indeed. In contrast, the Hall-Jordan model relies on only "gold standard" studies of energy expenditure, detailed input from a number of studies of the physiology of nutrition, and the model takes into account the metabolic changes that accompany the loss of fat mass and the relationship between weight at any time during the diet and physical activity energy expenditure. The integration of all these concepts into a plan for weight loss requires a mathematical model which in would be very difficult to apply without the aid of a computer. Readers familiar with mathematics can view the equations in the cited paper. Consider the following example based on this model. An obese man (BMI = 35) weighs 230 pounds (105 kg) and wishes to have a BMI indicating not overweight. To achieve a BMI of 24 requires the loss of 72 pounds or 33 kg. According the model, this will require a decrease in energy intake of about 600 calories per day in order to eventually reach the new equilibrium weight of 158 pounds. It is assumed that there is no change in physical activity. This model does not predict the time required. By increasing the calorie deficit the weight loss should be more rapid and then as the target is approach, the calorie deficit can be reduced and allowed to approach the new equilibrium value of 600, but the implication of the model is that one is stuck with this new energy intake if it is desired to maintain the new BMI. Hall and coworkers have also examined the predicted time course of weight loss based on extensions of their steady-state model discussed above. For example, if a 100-kg individual were to be subjected to approximately a 500 cal energy deficit, two different models both predicted the approach to the new steady weight would be about 50% in one year, 85% in two years and 92% in 3 years. The new equilibrium weight was about 74 kg. A discussion of the details of the models is beyond the scope of this review.14,15 The researchers point out that the slow approach to a new steady state for humans has been found in a number of studies. In the example cited, extrapolation of the initial drop over the first few months yields a one-year weight that approaches the 24 kg that the 500 calories = 1 pound rule of thumb would predict at one year, but there is continuous compensation and it takes three years rather than one to reach a weight loss of about 24 kg or 53 pounds. These numbers are all approximate and are taken from graphs. As pointed out above, diet studies rarely keep the initial protocol beyond 6 months. Hall and Jordan comment that since reaching a new desired weight that requires a substantial weight loss may require several years, consideration of an accelerated weight loss phase followed by a weight maintenance phase may be appropriate. In their model they provides guidance as to the dietary and activity changes necessary for weight maintenance, something for which no other clinical tool is currently available.3 This allows the estimate of the extent to which a caloric deficit in use exceeds that required to maintain the weight at any stage in the decline. There are a number of online calculators that determine the energy burned by exercise. For example, one calculator found that if one weighed 230 lbs, walking 45 min at a moderate rate of 3 miles per hour yields 272 calories burned or about 1900 calories per week. Using 3500 calories burned as the equivalent of one pound, then this activity provides about an additional half pound compared to no exercise. While this may not seem like much, if one is on a diet with a reduced energy intake of 500 calories, then the initial rate of weight loss will be about one pound without exercise, but 1.5 pounds with exercise. It becomes significant. Results from these online calculators should be considered only approximate since the weight loss associated with exercise varies with weight. The cited paper for the Hall-Jordan model does not discuss potential reasons for failure. The studies used to obtain weighting factors and other parameters presumably did not include individuals where there were unusual difficulties in achieving weight loss. The factors that might cause failure merit a brief discussion.
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REFERENCES
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