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RESEARCH REPORT
Diagnosis and Staging of Prostate Cancer
Part I – The PSA and DRE Tests
by William R. Ware, Ph.D., Emeritus Professor of Chemistry, University of Western Ontario
INTRODUCTION
Before the blood test for prostate specific antigen (PSA) came into general use as a diagnostic tool for prostate
cancer (PC), only abnormalities felt during a digital rectal exam (DRE) or symptoms suggestive of invasive
cancer or metastasis such as bleeding or bone pain were available as indicators of the presence of this disease.
The result was that many patients presented with non-localized or metastatic cancer, which in many cases was
treatable only with symptom relief (palliation). In the late 1980s physicians using the new PSA blood test began
detecting PC at a much earlier stage and a PSA cut-off was established above which a biopsy was indicated.
Also, biopsy techniques improved and a grading system was developed for the analysis of tissue samples taken
at biopsy which permitted the approximate differentiation between low-grade and perhaps biologically
insignificant tumors on the one hand and potentially aggressive cancer on the other.
At present the PSA test is frequently done periodically in conjunction with physical exams and the majority of
cancers now being detected are localized and viewed as curable by the surgical removal of the prostate (radical
prostatectomy) or by radiation therapy. Prognosis in general is also now more accurately established, both
preoperatively and after the pathological examination of removed prostates. PSA has also become a valuable
tool in detecting recurrence (also called biochemical failure) after a radical prostatectomy or radiation
therapy. It is also not uncommon to find evidence of PC in tissue removed during the transurethral resection
operation (TURP) for benign prostatic hyperplasia, and even surgery for bladder cancer turns up unexpected
PC. In spite of these advances, whether or not there has been an improvement in mortality for those with PC
because of the use of the PSA test remains controversial and the subject of ongoing studies. This is an
important question, since surgical removal of the prostate (radical prostatectomy) or radiation treatment of PC
are associated with adverse effects which can significantly and in some cases permanently decrease the
patient's quality of life. As will be discussed below, this is not a simple matter and treatment decisions are far
from straight forward.
When the PSA test is done on asymptomatic individuals, generally in the course of a physical examination, this
is generally termed screening. Both the advisability of PSA screening and the appropriate PSA cut-off
level suggesting a biopsy have become what are probably the most hotly debated subjects in the history of
urology, and the large number of research results and associated editorials published annually continue to fuel
the debate.
This review will examine the screening controversy, the utility and shortcomings of the DRE, the various aspects
of the use of PSA in diagnosis and prognosis, the biopsy techniques in current use, the histological grading
system known as the Gleason Score, tumor staging and the procedures used to determine if the cancer has
spread beyond the gland. The goal is to provide detailed evidence-based information so that an individual can
take part in the decision making process when options are presented. It is worth mentioning that the current
trend is for these options to be discussed with patients since there are serious risk-benefit considerations
involved which are far from clear-cut. For example, the current guidelines of the American Urology Association
for the diagnosis of benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) [1] indicate that the PSA test should be offered to
patients under certain circumstances. This highlights the problems associated with this test which include
coping with the positive results that may occur, and implies a joint decision making process. In fact, on occasion
one sees the principle stated that a diagnostic test should not be done unless it is clearly understood what action
will be taken if the result is positive.
THE DIGITAL RECTAL EXAMINATION
(DRE)
The male anatomy is such that the back of the prostate is in close proximity to the front wall of the rectum. This
provides the opportunity for a physician to palpate (feel) part of the surface of the gland and estimate both the
prostate size and the presence or absence of abnormal growths or other features. The area that can be palpated
is where carcinoma most frequently begins. Carcinomas are characteristically hard, nodular and irregular. The
test also has the potential for detecting extra-prostatic tumor. At the same time, the physician can check for
abnormal rectal masses indicative of possible cancer. The procedure is essentially non-invasive but may be
mildly uncomfortable or distasteful. In Dr. Peter Scardino's Prostate Book [2], the author points out that
this test is highly subjective and difficult to master. Surface irregularities such as nodules may be strike one
urologist as significant and another as insignificant.
The ability of the DRE to predict the presence of PC is not impressive. In a recent study of 408 consecutive
patients with a mean age of 63.8 years and PSA ranging from 2.5 to 10 ng/mL, Philip et al [3] compared biopsy
results with the observation of an abnormal DRE. Only 47% of the patients with an abnormal DRE had cancer
on biopsy. There was also a poor correlation between the predicted stage and the actual pathology results for
those that went on to have a radical prostatectomy. Also, a few patients with a normal DRE were found to have
advanced cancer. The authors comment that in this study the examinations were done by two experienced
urologists, and they suggest that that the accuracy might be even lower if the DREs were done by less
experienced practitioners or specialist nurses.
Crawford et al [4] used a PSA cut-off of = 4.0 ng/mL for normal and found in a large cohort that an abnormal
DRE had a positive predictive value (percent of positives that were true positives) in the normal subgroup of only
about 18% based on biopsy verified cancers, but for the group with an abnormal PSA and an abnormal DRE, the
predictive value of the combined abnormal indication jumped to 56%, whereas for an abnormal PSA and a
normal DRE, the percentage was about 28%.
It is common practice to do both a DRE and a PSA test in the course of a physical exam. The DRE can also
provide information that is useful during the biopsy. Some urologists take extra samples (cores) in areas of the
prostate where the DRE indicates potential tumors [2]. A recent study suggests that the DRE is underutilized [5].
THE PSA
TEST
TOTAL PSA
PSA stands for prostate specific antigen. PSA is organ specific but not cancer specific. PSA is produced by cells
in the prostate and released as part of the ejaculate. It was only in 1985 that the biological function of PSA was
explained. After ejaculation, seminal fluid coagulates. PSA reverses this allowing sperm to achieve the required
mobility. PSA is a macromolecule that cannot normally penetrate the prostate capsule nor find its way into the
blood stream. Thus PSA should only be found in the prostate and in seminal fluid and under normal
circumstances, only minute amounts are found in the blood. Thus measurable serum levels suggest that
something has gone wrong in the structural integrity of the prostate. Candidates include prostatitis, benign
prostatic hyperplasia (BPH), and PC. When the prostate is successfully removed, the serum PSA level is
expected to drop to near zero and remain there. However, if metastasis has occurred or if some prostate tissue
has been left behind, this can result in low levels of residual PSA that may progressively increase.
When used for diagnostic purposes, the PSA test is essentially a screening test. There are four possible
outcomes, true positive, true negative, false positive and false negative. The validity of a screening test is
frequently measured in terms of sensitivity and specificity. The former measures the ability of the test to
correctly identify those with the disease, whereas specificity measures the success of the test in identifying
subjects free of the disease. These two measures, given as percentages, are defined as follows:
- Sensitivity = true positives/(true positives + false negatives)
- Specificity = true negatives/(true negatives + false positives)
Too many false positives lead to poor specificity, whereas too many false negatives reduce the sensitivity. A
specificity of say 50% would mean that there were as many false positives as true negatives.
The PSA test provides a continuous range of results and it is necessary to have a so-called cut-off value which
defines positive (bad) and negative (good) results. Once this cut-off is agreed upon, studies which compare the
test results to the actual correct diagnosis provide a measure of the value of the test. In the case of the PSA
test, for example, a positive is by definition a value above the cut-off. When no cancer exists in the patient with
a value above the cut-off, this provides a false positive. Likewise, when cancer is identified in a patient with a
PSA below the cut-off value, the result is a false negative. Tests with less than perfect specificity and sensitivity
simply provide probabilities of having or not having the disease in question rather than an absolute yes or no
answer.
In the case of suspected prostate cancer, a biopsy is used to establish the diagnosis, although tissue collected
during surgical treatment for BPH is also routinely examined for indications of cancer. An obvious and
potentially serious situation arises when evaluating the merits of a screening test if the actual diagnostic
procedure is not 100% accurate, which, as will be discussed below, is the case with prostate needle biopsies.
An initial biopsy can miss as many as 30% of cancers, especially if it employs only six needles. Thus using one
biopsy as an indicator of the presence or absence of cancer will make the PSA test, whatever the cut-off, appear
less successful than it really is. Also there is interest in the relationship between the PSA serum level and the
grade or aggressiveness of the cancer. The biopsy involves examining the cells in a set of cores obtained from
the hollow needles used. For prostate cancer most pathologists use a system called the Gleason Score, which
is based on the frequency of observing certain types of cells indicative of how advanced the cancer is. The
Gleason score runs from 2 to 10, with a value of 7 or more indicating aggressive cancer. This will be discussed
in detail below. Thus the pathologist examines the biopsy cores and makes several judgments, i.e. yes, no, or
not clear that there is cancer present and if cancer is found, how much of what grade is observed. The yes or no
answer can then be used in studies to judge sensitivity and specificity of the PSA test. The connection between
tumor grade or score and PSA, however, is obscured by the fact that the grading is far from perfect, and when
the biopsy results are compared with actual examination of the prostate, upgrading as well as downgrading of
the score are far from uncommon, especially when the observations are made by pathologists who do not
specialize in PC or see PC only occasionally. This will be discussed in detail when the biopsy is considered.
The cut-off of 4 ng/mL (nanograms per milliliter is the only unit used for total PSA and therefore it will be
omitted hereafter) was established early in the use of the PSA test and was based on data collected in a
private clinic setting. A serum level of less than 4 was considered insufficient evidence in the absence of an
abnormal DRE for doing a biopsy, but this was purely a probability argument since it was well known that some
patients in this "normal" group would in fact have positive biopsy results. The conventional wisdom dictated that
many of the cancers found in this normal range presented no immediate danger. Many patients no doubt went
away feeling good about their "normal" result.
Since the advent of the PSA test a number of studies have addressed the question of the prevalence of PC in
patients having PSA = 4; problems with this cut-off were brought to center stage in a landmark study by
Thompson et al [6] published in the New England Journal of Medicine in May of 2004. The study
participants (age 62 to 91) were drawn from the placebo arm of a drug intervention clinical trial, the goal of which
was to determine if Proscar (finasteride), used to treat BPH, also prevented PC. In the placebo arm, 2950 men
had both a normal DRE and a PSA level = 4.0 over a seven-year period. At the end of this period, untreated
patients who still met the criteria had a final PSA measurement and submitted to a biopsy involving a minimum
of six needles. Thus the investigators were provided with tumor grading scores as well as PSA values for those
in the cohort diagnosed with PC and those found free of cancer. Prostate cancer was diagnosed in 15.2% of the
group and of those with PC, 14.9 % had a Gleason Score indicating advanced cancer.
The incidence of PC as a function of PSA is of particular interest. The prevalence was 6.6% for levels up to 0.5,
10.1% for levels between 0.6 and 1.0, 17% for levels of 1.1 to 2.0, 23.9% for levels between 2.1 and 3.0, and
finally 26.9% for levels between 3.1 and 4.0. For those with a diagnosis of cancer, the prevalence of high-grade
cancers increased from 12.5% for the PSA range up to 0.5 to 25% for those with PSA values in the range of 3.1
to 4. Two conclusions are evident: (a) the higher the PSA in this so-called normal range, the greater the
probability of having prostate cancer, and the higher the PSA the greater the probability that the cancer it is high-
grade; (b) there does not appear to be a threshold for PSA levels below which the probability of having prostate
cancer is negligible. Even a PSA level of between the lower limit of detectability and 0.5 gave a one in ten
chance of having PC and if one is unlucky, then in addition there was a 12.5% chance that this cancer would be
aggressive.
The authors comment that their results run counter to the impression of many clinicians that PSA levels of 4.0 or
less carry almost no risk of prostate cancer when in fact there is significant risk even of intermediate or high-
grade cancer. In an editorial comment [7], Dr. Patrick Walsh of Johns Hopkins University Medical School, a very
well know and respected urologist, remarked that if a patient really wanted to know if he had PC, the study of
Thompson et al left one with no alternative but to suggest a biopsy, since measuring PSA clearly was not the
answer. What he does not mention is that more than one biopsy might be necessary!
TO SCREEN OR NOT TO
SCREEN
Do you want at PSA test? Should I have a PSA test? These are question that may come up in the course of a
physical exam. The current trend in medicine is to provide the pros and cons of screening and encourage the
patient to make the decision. This in fact reflects the current status of the screening debate. Thus the patient
should be armed with as much information as possible, which is in fact a tall order given the complexity of the
issues. Screening for prostate cancer involves a PSA test and/or a DRE in asymptomatic men. While it is
common practice to do both, the debate on the merits of screening centers on the PSA test. A number of experts
have advanced arguments for and against its use. While the debate goes back some time into the history of this
test, it is of interest to review the arguments put forward in recent reviews and editorials [8-13]. These arguments
are mostly based on the use of the test for total PSA rather than recent variations.
ARGUMENTS FOR SCREENING
- With the advent of widespread PSA screening in the US, the death rate from PC has declined, and in 1997 it
fell below the rate recorded in 1986 when PSA was rarely measured. This is the mortality argument. Those on
both sides of the argument appear mostly to agree that the cause and effect relationship is still a hypothesis, and
all await the results of ongoing trials. Preliminary results from one indicate no effect of screening on PC related
mortality [14].
- Before PSA screening, many cancers were diagnosed at a stage that could not be cured. It is generally
agreed that today most cancers are identified at a much earlier stage when the cancer is localized and can be
treated effectively surgically or non-surgically. This is the "higher cure rate for tumors found early" argument.
Treating early cancer was not in general possible before the PSA test because there simply was no way to find
it. It was organ-confined and could not be detected with the DRE.
- As a screening test for PC, PSA has the highest predictive value. The only other screening test in routine use
is the DRE.
- The majority of cancers detected with PSA screening are clinically important. Tumors that are large enough
to elevate serum PSA are mostly not the insignificant, well-differentiated microscopic tumors found at autopsy in
many, but not all men over the age of 50 who die from other causes.
- If one compares the incidence among cancer patients of palpable disease (positive DRE) for two periods
1983-1988 and 1999-2003, it was 92% in the pre PSA period and 17% in the recent PSA era, and the average
PSA at diagnosis of PC dropped from 24 to 7.3.
- Incidence of positive lymph node and seminal vesicle disease (indicative of the spread of the cancer) is
dramatically lower in the recent PSA era as compared to the earlier period. It is argued that this is due to early
detection and equates to a better prognosis when the cancer is treated.
- Currently less than 10% of men have distant metastases at the time of diagnosis, which is considerably lower
than was common in the pre-PSA era. Also, the percentage of men offered so-called local treatment with intent
to cure (radical prostatectomy or radiation treatment) has increased significantly during the PSA era.
- The high false positive rate associated with either a 4.0 or lower cut-off can be decreased by adding %fPSA
and PSA velocity (see below for a discussion of these two alternative PSA tests) to the screening protocol, thus
minimizing biopsies that yield benign results, i.e. unnecessary biopsies.
- Advocates of PSA screening question the argument that screening leads to over-diagnosis. The study of
Etzioni et al [15] found that the majority of cases of PC detected by screening in the population studied (60-84
years of age in 1988) would still have had cancer detected that presented clinically within the patient lifetime
- Some advocates of screening ask the following question. "Do those who are against PSA screening really
want to return to the pre-PSA era when most of the cancers diagnosed were of an advanced stage and
incurable?"
ARGUMENTS AGAINST SCREENING
- PSA screening leads to a large number of false positive results (PSA above the cut-off in cancer free
individuals) which if acted upon, result in unnecessary biopsies.
- PSA screening finds insignificant cancers that would not yield clinical symptoms during the lifetime of the
patient. Screening causes unwarranted treatment of slow-growing tumors. Advocates quote such figures as
14.5% of prostate cancers removed by radical prostatectomy are clinically insignificant, but the other side
points out that this means that 85.5% of patients had clinically significant tumors that were removed, many of
them successfully. This is reminiscent of the two points of view where a glass is termed half-full or half-
empty.
- The decrease in mortality rate for prostate cancer seen during the PSA era is not due to screening but is
the result of improved treatment including early hormone treatment and other still to be identified factors.
- A man's risk of death from prostate cancer is 3-4% whereas his lifetime risk of being diagnosed with the
disease is about 17% [6]. This suggests that many prostate cancers detected in routine practice may be
clinically unimportant.
- Unnecessary treatment results in unnecessary adverse effects such as impotence, incontinence and
bowel disorders, and a decline in the quality of life of the treated individual. An increased risk of rectal cancer
has also been recently reported associated with radiation treatment (RT) [16].
- The fear of dying from prostate cancer may be out of proportion with the real probability of death from
this disease, given that approximately 250,000 US men were diagnosed with prostate cancer in 2004, but
only 30,000 are expected to die from it [17].
Both the advocates and opponents of screening appear to agree that the relationship of PC specific mortality to
the advent of screening remains to be settled, but there is no disagreement as to the occurrence of a mortality
decline in a number of countries [18]. When PSA was first introduced in the late 1980s, both incidence and
mortality increased, but this was followed after 1991 by an increasing decline. By 1997, the US PC mortality
rates for white men aged < 85 had declined to levels lower than those observed in 1986. But there have been
very few studies that addressed the question of cause and effect as regards the impact of screening on PC
specific mortality. There is clearly a danger slipping into the logical fallacy post hoc ergo propter hoc
(after which therefore because of).
There appear to be only three studies that come close to properly addressing the question, and they are all
recent. A study conducted in Quebec found a 62% reduction in mortality when screened and unscreened
populations were compared [19]. This study came under immediate criticism for design and procedural
problems [20] and another interpretation of the data yielded insignificant differences [18]. In another study [21],
PC specific mortality in the Austrian state of Tyrol was compared to the rest of Austria. The motivation was that
PSA screening was made more freely available in the Tyrol in 1993. While lower PC related mortality was
observed in Tyrol as compared to the rest of Austria, another explanation for this difference may be the
increased proportion of patients undergoing radical prostatectomies in this state, and in fact this predated PSA
screening [22]. A third study was based on the fact that PSA screening was more common in the Seattle-Puget
Sound area than in the state of Connecticut and this should have translated into a lower PC specific mortality.
The results of this eleven-year study have just appeared [23] and were negative. Finally, PC mortality rates
have also declined in countries where PSA screening is uncommon [24].
Confusing the issue even more is the just published case control study [25] that found the fascinating result that
cholesterol lowering therapy employing the statin class of drug dramatically reduced the risk of prostate cancer
(OR = 0.38, 95% confidence interval 0.21-0.69), especially more aggressive disease. A large prospective study
is needed to examine this result since other studies, while not looking specifically at PC, did not find similar risk
reduction. Needless to say, statin therapy is widespread and dramatically increased during the period when PSA
screening was also increasing.
J.-E Damber has suggested [18] one explanation unrelated to PSA that could account for the decline in PC
specific mortality. At about the same time as PSA screening became popular, there was renewed interest in
hormonal therapy; its use increased substantially and it became common practice to begin this therapy earlier
and even employ it in combination with radiation therapy. Damber reviews several randomized clinical trials of
the use of the luteinizing hormone releasing hormone antagonist (e.g. goserelin) or castration along with
radiation therapy which resulted in evidence of significant improvement in survival over radiation therapy alone.
Even though hormonal therapy is not curative, Damber suggests that the increased use of this treatment could
contribute to the observed recent decline in PC-specific mortality by delaying death from PC long enough for
some patients to die from other causes.
The relevance of the mortality argument (screening is not advisable unless it has a positive effect on prostate
specific mortality) should be scrutinized carefully. An individual can have metastatic PC that may go nearly to
the end-stage, and yet die of a stroke or heart attack, and this would not be counted as PC specific mortality in
some studies. Nevertheless, during the course of the disease, the individual would probably experience a greatly
diminished quality of life associated with both the spreading cancer and its palliative treatment. The list of
problems associated with advanced PC is long, but includes fatigue, depression, pain, numerous side effects
associated with hormone and pain treatment, and problems once the cancer is established in other sites such as
the brain, bone, lung, etc. A recent study was criticized for counting distant metastasis observed at autopsy as
PC specific death, but the authors defended this protocol by pointing out that metastatic PC was in effect a death
sentence. The point is that the effect of screening on the prevalence and time to onset of metastasis is perhaps
a more realistic measure of its merits than looking simply at overall PC mortality. If early detection and treatment
significantly delays metastasis in those not cured, the benefit would be is some cases dying of some other cause
before metastasis profoundly altered the quality of life, a cause of death that would in some, perhaps even many
cases be less drawn-out, debilitating, psychologically devastating and painful. There is recent evidence that
screening and subsequent treatment have a significant influence on the incidence of metastatic PC [26].
A recent study carried out between 1991 and 2001 involving a very large number of participants directly relates
to some of the questions raised in the screening debate and in particular the suggestion to lower the PSA cut-off
for triggering a biopsy [27]. Included in the study were men 45-59 years of age at baseline with PSA = 2.6 and a
benign DRE who complied with a screening protocol involving periodic PSA measurements and a DRE. In this
study, the indication for biopsy was PSA > 2.5 or a suspicious DRE. The six or greater needle biopsy procedure
was used and not all men followed the recommendation for a biopsy. If one assumes that those refusing biopsy
would have had the same cancer rate as those biopsied, then about 3% of those screened would have been
found to have cancer. For those biopsied, 54% had cancer. Of these, 87% underwent a radical prostatectomy
(RP), which yielded pathological characteristics of the tumor burden. Seventy-nine percent had organ confined
disease, 13% possible harmless disease, and 2% possible rapidly progressing cancer.
Comparison via the published literature with non-screened populations provided the following observations,
all of which favored the screened population: (a) 80% of the cancers were non-palpable, (b) no tumors
were clinically advanced at diagnosis; (c) 13% of tumors were judged possibly harmless i.e. low over-diagnosis
compared to non-screened populations. In addition, the five-year freedom from PSA progression (biochemical
failure indicating eventual metastatic cancer) was 95% which is a very good recurrence free rate considering
10% had radiation treatment, 1.3% other therapy, and 1.7% observation only. Biochemical failure will be
discussed below. The authors conclude that adherence to screening guidelines such as they employed would
result in the detection of prostate cancer in most individuals that was both significant and curable.
One of the most persuasive arguments of the pro-screening advocates involves the assertion that finding PC
early has a higher probability of leading to a so-called "cure." If this is true then radical prostatectomy, which is
frequently the treatment of choice, should be very effective in curing cancers identified by screening. While what
constitutes a cure can be debated, one option is to consider the absence of an increase in PSA after treatment
as an indicator of cure. If, on the other hand, the PSA level, after dropping initially to near zero starts increasing
again (biochemical failure) then that would indicate that the cancer has not been eradicated.
Since 1992, at least twelve studies have addressed this question using biochemical failure as the endpoint
[28,29]. While the populations studied had somewhat different characteristics, the five-year failure rate was
found to be 2-20% and the 10-year rate 5-25%, Larger failure rates were associated with higher Gleason scores
and higher preoperative PSA. Thus there appears to be some merit to this argument. The time lag between
biochemical failure and clinical manifestation of disease may be as long as 5-8 years, followed by an additional
5-year median time to metastasis and another 5-year median time to prostate cancer specific death. Thus if
biochemical failure occurs at, say, 5 years post-RP, then there would be on average about 15 years before PC
related death would be predicted. But the problem of recurrence applies at most to only the 5-25% of individuals
who had a RP. The remaining 75-95% were "cured."
A study by Antenor et al [30] also addresses the above issue. They followed over 2800 men with the PC stage
commonly found in screening studies who were treated with a RP and then monitored prospectively to obtain the
10-year biochemical progression free survival rates. Men with preoperative PSA in the range of 2.6 to 4.0 had an
88% 10-year disease free survival rate, i.e. a 12% failure rate, whereas for a preoperative PSA level > 10, the
ten-year disease free rate was only 61%. Men with a PSA level of 2.6 to 4.0 also had the greatest rate of organ-
confined disease, and the lowest Gleason score found post-RP. Similar results were obtained by Freedland et al
[31] but the disease free survival rates were lower, even at 5 years. These studies viewed together support the
notion of better prognosis with early detection, and as well suggest that a cut-off somewhere below 4.0 may
have some merit.
Recent studies using PC-specific mortality as an endpoint provide a similar picture as regards to treatment and
metastasis, but are based on comparing screening-initiated RP with a watchful waiting group where no treatment
was given until palliation was required. This latter group is roughly equivalent to a pre-PSA or non-screened
population. The largest difference between the RP and watchful waiting groups is seen with high-grade cancers
[26,32]. One recent study with PC-specific mortality as the principal endpoint also looked at the effect of
screening on subsequent distant metastasis and found the watchful waiting group at considerably greater risk
than those randomized to RP [26]. Unless accidental death or a fatal comorbidity intervenes, patients with
distant metastasis will die of PC.
While studies that favor screening continue to appear, it is clear that this debate will not be easily resolved until a
new generation of markers and procedures with a much lower level of false positives and a better indication of
tumor grade are devised, tested, and approved. The wide gap between the advocates (some call them
evangelists) and those against screening (called snails who keep demanding more scientific proof) is clear from
the fact that American Cancer Society, the American Medical Association, and the American Urology Association
favor screening with PSA and a DRE, but the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force and the American College of
Physicians recommend against it. This lack of agreement has resulted in a movement to shift the decision
making burden to the patient. Frequently stated advice is that the physician should discuss the pros and cons of
screening with the patient and obtain input as to whether or not to proceed.
There are two trials currently on-going in Europe that may help resolve the question of the relationship between
screenings, the resultant early treatment, and overall PC specific mortality. Together these two trials aim to
recruit over a quarter of a million men, but the results will not be available for several years. In a preliminary
report from one of these studies [14], a favorable shift in prognostic factors was found in the screening arm of
the trial, but the results failed to provide evidence that screening had an effect of PC specific mortality. In the
meantime, the mortality argument should probably be viewed with suspicion.
AGE, SCREENING, AND THE AGE-ADJUSTED PSA CUT-OFF
The serum level of PSA is determined by both the presence of cancer and/or BPH, and as well can be elevated
by other factors discussed below. BPH increases with age and thus provides a benign cause of age-dependent
PSA elevation. But the matter is complicated because the probability of cancer also increases with age. A
solution, proposed by Osterling et al [33] in 1993, involved an age-adjusted set of PSA cut-offs, with higher PSA
levels associated with more advanced age. Subsequent studies showed that the use of these cut-offs reduced
the biopsy rate in men with normal DRE, but Catalona et al [34] demonstrated that age-specific cut-offs missed
large numbers of tumors. However, this approach to the use of PSA may offer greater sensitivity for cancer
detection in younger men. An examination of the literature reveals that in the past few years there has been little
interest in either improving or justifying age-adjusted cut-offs as a trigger for biopsy. There appears no solution
to the fundamental characteristic of screening tests that, no matter what the age group, decreasing the cut-off
increases the sensitivity of the test but reduces the specificity with the attendant increase in false positives
[24,35].
Three high-profile books for the lay audience present age-adjusted cut-off tables [2,36,37], but aside from the
work of Osterling et al, clinical studies justifying specific numbers as offering benefit to patients appear absent. If
age-adjusted cut-offs, which have cut-offs below 4 for younger men, are use in practice the motivation is
presumably detecting additional cancers, especially in younger men where there PSA elevations are more likely
to be due to cancer since BPH is rarely a factor. The following guidelines for triggering a biopsy from Walsh's
book [37] illustrate this. The first two thresholds are the same as proposed by Osterling et al.
- Age 40-49 years – 2.5 PSA threshold
- Age 50-59 years – 3.5 PSA threshold
- Age at or above 60 years – 4.0 PSA threshold
The most significant change from the traditional cut-off of 4.0 is in the 40-49 age group. There is considerable
evidence that younger men with cancer, and in particular those below the age of 50 years, have a greater
probability of organ-confined disease and a much higher disease free survival rate post RP [38-41]. In a very
recent study [42] it was found that men younger than 62 with screening PSA < 4 had smaller, lower-grade
tumors and lower recurrence rates post RP than those with PSA = 4. This was not true for men over 62. A cut-
off of 4 will fail to detect many of these small but highly treatable cancers. In fact, the Johns Hopkins urologist H.
Balentine Carter [43] supports the lower cut-off of 2.5 for men under 50 whereas for all others he sees little
advantage of lower cut-offs over the traditional value of 4, but this is the subject of debate, as will now be
discussed briefly.
THE 2.5 VS 4.0 CUT-OFF DEBATE
Some of the arguments have been presented above. Facts that do not appear debatable include the following.
The probability of detecting cancer is a direct function of the PSA level, and therefore the lower cut-off should
increase the number of men above threshold who would presumably be counseled to undergo a biopsy, and this
would result in finding cancers that otherwise would have escaped detection until the old cut-off was exceeded.
A lower cut-off would also result in an increase in the number of benign biopsies, since lowering the cut-off has
the inevitable consequence of decreasing the specificity of the screening test [24]. Another argument, as
discussed above, is that lower cut-off will identify more younger men with PC, most of whom are curable.
Two papers by Catalona and associates [44,45] relate to the objection that a lower cut-off will detect too many
insignificant tumors. They conclude that a cut-off of > 2.5 identifies a substantial number of cancers and will
indeed find small, organ-confined tumors, but without over-detecting clinically insignificant cancers, but over-
detection depends on how it is defined.
Carter [43] argues that there is no convincing evidence that with present-day therapy, men treated when their
cancers are detected at PSA levels below 4 have any less favorable outcome than men treated when they
exceed 4.0 by a small amount. But this argument is confounded by age, as Carter recognizes. He argues that
the detection of PC at a younger age should have a greater effect on the probability of being disease-free after
treatment than would the detection at a PSA of less than 4.
Like the screening debate itself, there appears no simple answer to the question of the optimum cut-off or the
merits of using one lower than the traditional value of 4. The critical need is for new non-invasive tests that have
both high sensitivity and higher specificity. Some of these will be discussed below.
FREE AND COMPLEXED PSA, PSA DENSITY AND PSA RATE OF CHANGE
The lack of specificity associated with the total PSA test (tPSA), has prompted considerable interest in
refinements and variations that decrease false positives and false negatives. These "second generation" PSA
tests include free PSA, complexed PSA, PSA density based either on total prostate volume
or transition zone volume, and finally the rate of change of PSA with time expressed as a PSA velocity or
doubling time. Complexed PSA appears to offer no advantage over the other second generation tests
and will not be discussed [46]. Of special interest is improving the specificity in the 4-10 PSA range in order to
reduce the number of unnecessary biopsies that a cut-off of 4 might provoke for individuals with total PSA levels
in this gray area. But the PSA range of 2-4 is also of great interest, given that one in four men with PSA levels
between 2.0 and 4 have PC at biopsy, more than a fifth of these lesions are judged high grade, and even a cut-
off of 2.0 leaves 9% of men below this cut-off with cancer [6]. The need for greater specificity over the whole
range from 2 to 10 is generally recognized.
FREE PSA
The form of PSA called free PSA is one of the most interesting in this context. While PSA is predominantly
complexed with proteins, the form called free PSA (fPSA) is unbound. Early work suggested an enhanced
discriminatory power of fPSA over total (tPSA), especially in differentiating PC from BPH. In fact, a crude
generalization commonly seen is that bound PSA is from cancer cells and free PSA is from BPH (an enlarged
prostate). This has prompted clinical trials of considerable interest. In these studies, free PSA is generally
expressed as a percentage of total PSA, so:
%fPSA = 100 X fPSA/tPSA
A low value for %fPSA would thus tend to indicate the possibility of cancer while a high value would point toward
BPH as the cause of the PSA elevation.
The %fPSA has been the subject of a number of studies aimed at evaluating its merits relative to tPSA for
indicating the advisability of a biopsy [47]. The incidence of PC in the gray area of tPSA of 4-10 is typically 20-
25%, but if everyone with a tPSA above 4 but below 10 is subjected to a biopsy, 75-80% will be benign. The
motivation in using %fPSA is to avoid some of these benign biopsies on the basis of a scheme that selects for
those with low probability of PC. Thus the interest in determining if a suitable cut-off for %fPSA will accomplish
this. The typical study is designed as follows. A group meeting a certain set of criteria (e.g. tPSA between 4 and
10 and a non-suspicious DRE) is recruited who are willing to undergo a biopsy. The %PSA is determined and
from the biopsy results of the whole group, and merits of a given cut-off determined.
For example, in a recently reported large study [48], 500 patients underwent biopsy. In 107 PC was found, and
thus 393 benign biopsies were generated by the tPSA cut-off of = 4.0. If a cut-off for %fPSA of < 23% had been
used instead as a biopsy trigger with this particular group, 77 participants were above this cut-off and would
have avoided biopsy. Of the 77, 71 were actually benign and 6 had cancer. Thus the percentage of benign
biopsies avoided by using this cut-off was 71/393 = 0.18 or 18%. The price for avoiding 77 biopsies was missing
6 cancers, all of which, according to the authors, were significant. The 6 cancers out of a total of 107 represents
5.6%, which allows one to judge the risk of avoiding the biopsy by making use of this %fPSA based cut-off rather
than the >4 PSA cut-off. Since any cut-off can be examined from the data in hand, this type of study allows the
selection of an optimum cut-off in the trade-off of avoiding unnecessary biopsies and missing cancers. If the
desire is not to miss any cancers, then the exercise is pointless since it would be necessary to biopsy everybody.
In this study, the overall incidence of PC was 107/500 or 21.4%. It is important that the incidence be
comparable to that found in other cohorts since otherwise there would be a suspicion that the group did not
represent the general public in the age range studied.
A second large study reported in 1997 [3] also dealt with the gray PSA area of 4-10 , but a high proportion of
cancer cases was found (49%) which may not be representative of a normal patient population [48].
Nevertheless, when a 25% fPSA cut-off was used, 95% of cancers were detected while 20% of unnecessary
biopsies were avoided. It is beyond the scope of this review to examine in detail the large number of studies
related to the use of %fPSA, but it is frequently but not always found that a cut-off of 20 to 25% results is the
avoidance of about 20% of unnecessary biopsies when the population studied has a total PSA in the range of 4-
10. Since this gray area represents, for the majority of individuals, the PSA elevating effects of BPH, the use of
the %fPSA for this range of tPSA involves an attempt to differentiate PC from BPH. Studies of %fPSA for men in
the < 4 range are encouraging but limited [49], and it is too early to draw definite conclusions [49,50].
Along with the problem of the specificity of the PSA test, the other big challenge is to determine with some
degree of certainty the presence of a significant tumor or tumors that indicates the advisability of aggressive
treatment and at the same time exclude from either a biopsy or treatment those who have insignificant or
indolent tumors that are judged to present little current risk and can be merely watched without putting the
patient at undue risk. Evaluating a proposed protocol involves either the pathological examination of prostates
removed at radical prostatectomy (RP) or an evaluation scheme based on a set of conditions applied to the
biopsy core analysis. The information is combined with preoperative or pre-biopsy blood test data required by
the proposed test. A number of studies have examined the %fPSA in this context.
In what Dr. Patrick Walsh describes [37] as a landmark study, Epstein et al [51] in 1998 reported the results of
examining the power of %fPSA in predicting insignificant tumors in a series of radical prostatectomy cases.
Insignificant cancers were defined as organ confined with tumor volumes of less than 0.5 mL and Gleason score
of < 7. The best model for preoperatively predicting insignificant tumors was a %fPSA of = 15% and
favorable needle biopsy findings (less than 3 cores involved, none with greater than 50% tumor involvement).
This model correctly predicted in the group studied that 17 out of 18 tumors were insignificant.
In a study based on radical prostatectomy samples, Southwick et al [52] examined a cohort with total PSA
between 4 and 10 and a non-suspicious DRE. They also found that a cut-off of 15% fPSA provided the greatest
discrimination in predicting a favorable pathological outcome. Aus et al [53] examined the use of %fPSA in
predicting non-organ-confined PC, which would be classified as aggressive. For a %fPSA of 10.7% (first
quartile), the risk of non-organ confined PC was 46.5%, whereas for the fourth quartile (> 20.7 %fPSA) the risk
was 13.6%. Grossklaus et al [54] used tumor density (tumor volume divided by gland volume as determined in
prostates removed during RP) as a measure of "tumor involvement" as estimated by either tPSA or %fPSA. It
was found that the %fPSA correlated with tumor volume as well as Gleason score and extra capsular extension
(tumor cells identified outside the prostate capsule). These results further support the notion that %fPSA is
related to the aggressive nature of the cancer and that this has clinical significance.
A recent meta-analysis [47] systematically examined a large number of studies related to the use of %fPSA for
men in both the 2-4 and 4-10 PSA ranges. The authors found that up to 50% of unnecessary biopsies could be
avoided for those in the 4-10 range compared to 35% in the 2-4 range while missing 20% of cancers. From a
somewhat different point of view, Dr. Peter Scardino [2] summarizes the results with %fPSA by pointing out that
its use improves the ability by 20 to 40% to predict whether the cause of an elevated PSA is due to cancer but
reduces by only about 5% the cancers that would otherwise not be detected. He also remarks that at one
extreme, a %fPSA value over 25% suggests that elevated PSA is largely caused by BPH and any cancer
present is more likely to be small and confined to the gland. A level %f PSA under 10% suggests that an
elevated total PSA is mostly due to cancer and it is more likely than not that the cancer is significant and requires
treatment. There is a gray zone between 10 and 25% where the picture is less clear.
Dr. Patrick Walsh in his 2002 book on prostate cancer [37] poses the question "Should you get it?" in reference
to the %fPSA test. He introduces two points to consider. First, it is twice as expensive since two blood tests are
required. This is an issue only if insurance does not cover the test or if it not on the approved list for public or
private health care plans. The second consideration is simply the inevitable consequence of tests that are not
100% specific—5-10% of cancers may be missed. Walsh goes on to mention two situations where this test is, in
his view, particularly useful. In the first case, there is the man with an elevated PSA who has had several
biopsies that are negative. If the %fPSA is high, the patient can "relax." If the %fPSA is very low, this suggests
that more biopsies are in order! The second situation involves an individual with a strong family history of PC but
with a low age-adjusted tPSA. If the %fPSA is high, this provides reassurance that cancer is probably absent,
whereas if it is low, it is an indication for a biopsy.
PSA DENSITY
The theoretical motivation for using PSA density (PSAD) is partly based on the fact that men with BPH will in
general have both higher levels of PSA and enlarged prostates, and that this can be taken into account when
trying to distinguish BPH from PC by dividing the tPSA by the measured prostate volume. Since BPH results
almost exclusively from transition zone (TZ) hyperplasia, a refinement of the density argument introduced in
1994 leads to a density based on only the TZ volume (PSATZD).
Free and total PSA can be converted into densities by dividing by the prostate volume. The DRE is notoriously
inaccurate in providing a measure of prostate volume, and thus the use of PSA density (PSAD) requires an
ultrasound determination, generally with a transrectal probe. Since general practitioners and internists do not
have such equipment in their offices, this necessitates a visit to the ultrasound facility at a hospital or diagnostic
clinic. However, urologists may be able to provide these prostate density tests in the office setting. There is,
incidentally, at least one study suggesting that trans-abdominal ultrasound is very much inferior to transrectal
ultrasound in this context [55]. Total and TZ volumes can be obtained from ultrasound data available during an
ultrasound guided biopsy, but this is irrelevant in the context of the problem of increasing the specificity of the
PSA test if the purpose is avoiding unnecessary biopsies.
Most tests of the hypothesis that using a PSA density will improve specificity and avoid unnecessary biopsies
involve comparing biopsy results with the levels of PSA density and some studies also include a comparison with
%fPSA. The PSA ranges from 2-10 or 4-10 and = 4.0 are of interest in this context. In a study by Horninger et al
reported in 1998 [56], 308 individuals underwent ultrasound guided biopsy with 228 showing only BPH and 58
(19%) diagnosed with PC (22 had prostatitis). By using a cut-off of > 0.22 ng/mL/cc (the standard unit used) for
the PSATZD as a biopsy trigger, 24.4% of negative biopsies could have been avoided. Djavan et al published a
study [57] in 1998 that involved 559 consecutive men referred for early prostate detection or lower urinary tract
symptoms who had tPSA in the range of 4-10 . The diagnosis of PC was based on one or more ultrasound
guided biopsies. The PSATZD and the %fPSA were the most powerful and significant predictors of PC, and
both were better than PSAD. By tolerating a 5% failure rate in PC detection, a cut-off of >0.25 ng/mL/cc as a
biopsy criterion would have resulted in the lowest number of unnecessary biopsies. However, when the total
prostate volume was less than 30 mL, the TZ based method was inferior to the %fPSA in sensitivity and
specificity. Three much smaller studies published between 1999 and 2005 also examined the utility of PSATZD
in diagnosing cancer while avoiding unnecessary biopsies. All involved participants with PSA in the range of 4-
10. One study found PSATZD superior to PSAD [58]. Another found PSATZD superior to %fPSA [59] but the
third [60] failed to find an advantage over %fPSA. All three found a cut-off of 0.35 ng/mL/cc to give the best
compromise between sensitivity and specificity.
Thus it appears that using a PSA density calculated from a measured TZ volume or combining this with %fPSA
offers a protocol for decreasing the number of benign biopsy results for men with PSA levels in the gray area of
4-10 who would normally undergo biopsies simply due to exceeding the threshold of 4.0. However, the studies
quoted would all have missed some cancers by using either the PSATZD or %fPSA or a combined indicator if
their optimum cut-offs were used. By now it should be clear that this is inevitable.
There has been considerable discussion of the question of decreasing the "normal" cut-off from 4.0 to 2.0 or 2.5
for tPSA (see above). Thus tests that have improved specificity as compared to tPSA are of considerable
interest for application to men with levels in this range. There have been several studies that address this
question [55,61,62]. These studies examined the biopsy results for men with tPSA in the range of either 2.5-4.0
or 2.0-4.0 and relate to using the lower limit of these ranges as a cut-off that would trigger a biopsy. Djavan et al
[62] studied 273 men with serum PSA between 2.5 and 4.0. The found that patients with a %fPSA > 41% and a
PSATZD of less than 0.095 ng/mL/cc could safely been spared unnecessary biopsies. However, for small
prostates (<30 mL), the PSATZD was less effective than in patients with larger prostates, and they suggest in
this case the use of %fPSA alone. Koyayashi et al [55] found that PSAD and PSATZD were similar in terms of
predicting PC in men with tPSA in the range of 2-4 and better than %fPSA.
In a small study, Ohi et al [61] found that the diagnostic efficiency of PSATZD showed the highest value for a
cut-off of 0.23 and 0.28 for men with tPSA levels of 2.1-3.0 and 3.1-4.0 respectively, and that the use of these
cut-offs as biopsy indicators would reduce unnecessary biopsies without missing most PC cases for men with
tPSA in the range of 2.1 to 4.0.
The suggestion of lowering the cut-off for triggering biopsies from 4.0 to 2.0 or 2.5 mainly applies to younger
men who are less likely to have BPH elevated PSA and who appear most likely to benefit from early detection
and treatment of PC. For men who feel lower cut-offs are wise, have serum levels in excess of one or the other
of these cut-offs and are referred to a urologist for consultation, a discussion of the possibility of using TZ based
PSA density and %fPSA would seem to be in order when considering the pros and cons of a biopsy.
PSA VELOCITY AND DOUBLING TIME
PSA velocity (PSAV) involves repeated measurements over time to establish the pattern of change or stability in
an individual's serum level. It has been known for a number of years that a rapid increase in PSA either in
asymptomatic men or in those who have undergone treatment is generally a sign of trouble. As an adjunct to
screening, PSA velocity is receiving ever-increasing attention. Some studies also calculate the doubling time. In
the context of diagnosis a linear model is generally used, frequently with only two or three measurements. When
PSAV is used in the post-treatment setting, it not uncommon to encounter a linear-logarithmic model used for
calculating doubling times. Several recent studies are of interest.
Berger et al [63] recently reported on a large study where men were followed for up to 10 years (average 6
years). In this retrospective study 2,462 men without PC underwent PSA testing every two years. Over the
total time period 353 patients were diagnosed with PC. In men with cancer mean tPSA increased from 2.28 at
baseline 10 years before diagnosis to 6.37 at the time of positive biopsy (PSA velocity 0.409 ng/mL/year). In
the benign group, the mean tPSA increased from 1.18 to 1.49 over ten years for a velocity of 0.03 ng/mL/year.
For subjects with tPSA levels of 2 or less two years prior to diagnosis, 11.4% had values of more than 4 at the
time of positive biopsy. The authors concluded that an annual measurement was not required for men with
levels below 1.0, but for those above this level annual measurements were suggested on the basis of the
observation that a significant percentage of men with initial levels > 1.0 had levels of over 4 two years later.
Finally, an interesting observation was that about 24% of men with no evidence of PC had lower tPSA values at
the end of the study than the value found 10 years earlier. They also comment that the currently used threshold
velocity of = 0.75 ng/mL/year may be too high, at least in a Caucasian population. However, two early studies,
one in 1992 [64] and one in 1994 [65] found that a cut-off of 0.75 ng/mL/year was optimum for distinguishing
men with high risk of progressing to PC or as a biopsy threshold. It was found that when the PSAV was based
on a time span of 18 months or more, 95% of men without PC had a PSA less than 10 and a PSAV less than
0.75 ng/mL/year. Dr. Peter Scardino [2] also takes the position that a PSA velocity of more than 0.75ng/mL/year
indicates an increased risk that a biopsy would be positive for PC.
In a small study published in 2002, Fang et al [66] studied men with initial PSA levels between 2.0 and 4.0.
Men who maintained a PSAV of less than 0.1 ng/mL/year had a 97% probability of remaining disease free for at
least 10 years compared to only 37% for those with a PSAV exceeding 0.1 ng/mL/year. Their data indicated that
80% of PC cases could be identified with this cut-off, but the false positive rate would be 50%.
Large annual increases in PSA prior to diagnosis are a strong indication of poor prognosis [67]. Two recent
studies strongly suggest that a PSAV of greater than 2 ng/mL in the year preceding diagnosis predicted poor
outcome following either RP or RT [68,69]. metastatic disease with progression following hormone therapy after
RP.
There have been a few other studies that address the utility of PSAV, but they are difficult to compare due to
different designs and populations studied [70-72]. As Dr. Patrick Walsh points out [37], PSAV offers an
improvement over the raw PSA score but it is important to realize that 25% of men with prostate cancers that are
growing do not have a big increase in their PSA. Like the other variations of the PSA test, perfection is not in
sight. Nevertheless, PSAV appears to add a significant piece of information, not only if the PSAV is very low but
especially if it is very high. The usefulness of PSAV also provides a rationale for annual or biannual testing in
order to acquire the necessary data. Once a man has agreed to have a PSA test, it can be argued that it makes
sense to continue the practice for this reason.
INTRA-INDIVIDUAL VARIATIONS IN MEASURED PSA
A serious problem associated with PSAV, as well as with PSA cut-offs in general, involves the intra-individual
variations. In a recent study, Boddy et al [73] tested men with biopsy demonstrated absence of PC. Four
measurements of PSA levels were made over one month. The average variation was almost 10%, and when
stratified by PSA level, 0-4.0 gave, 14.1%, and 4.1-10 gave 10.8% variability. The authors review earlier studies
which showed similar variations, with typical values of about 15%. A 15% variation takes a value of 3.9 to 4.5.
Variations of this magnitude are of consequence when either PSAV is being tracked or a patient crosses or is
near a cut-off. For example, Eastham et al [74] examined 972 men and acquired five consecutive blood
samples over a 4-year period. Among men with an abnormal PSA result, a high proportion had a normal result
at one or more subsequent visits during the follow-up period (44% with an initial PSA result > 4, 40% with an
initial level higher than 2.5 and 55% with an initial elevated level above the age specific cut-off). The authors
conclude that an elevated PSA (i.e. one that crosses a cut-off), should be confirmed with a repeat test several
weeks later before attributing clinical significance to the result.
ARTIFICIAL LOWERING OR ELEVATION OF PSA
The following factors can raise or lower serum PSA levels to an extent that can be significant in connection with
both cut-off crossing and PSA velocity measurements.
- The DRE can artificially raise PSA levels for a day or more. The largest immediate effect is on %fPSA. For
example, in one study, the average value from before to 30 minutes after the DRE for total PSA was 3.4 to 4.3
and for %fPSA from 27.9 to 38%, with both changes highly statistically significant [75]. Thus blood for a PSA
test should be drawn before a DRE.
- Both total and free PSA increase after ejaculation with different rates of return to baseline. PSA testing
within 24 hours of ejaculation may lead to an artificial elevation and erroneous clinical conclusions [76].
- Bladder cystoscopy and/or catheterization can elevate PSA levels for at least two weeks.
- Laboratories using different assay procedures (kits from different companies) can produce variations that
have significance when the value is near a cut-off or when PSA velocity is an issue. In a recent study of two
currently used commercial assays, 19% of patients would have been candidates for a biopsy with one test but
not with another used in comparison. The cut-off in this study was 4.0 [77]. This is a serious problem since
changing primary care physicians is not uncommon, and physicians may change the laboratory they patronize.
- Acute urinary retention can elevate PSA levels for up two weeks.
- Prostate needle biopsy or TURP to treat BPH can elevate PSA values for up to six weeks.
- The two medications used to treat BPH, Proscar and Avodart; both reduce PSA levels by about 50%.
Incidentally, Propecia used for treating hair loss is low-dose Proscar (finasteride). Some physicians correct for
this but it is hard to believe that the correction is more than just approximate.
- Prostatitis can strongly elevate PSA levels, but they will generally come back down with antibiotic treatment.
- It has just been reported in a small study that statin treatment for hypercholesterolemia can lower PSA levels
[78]. The study involved 15 airline pilots. Over about 6 years, the average PSA dropped 41.6 % in the statin
group and increased by 38% in the comparison group, the latter increase presumably being age related. These
are large and statistically significant changes. This will no doubt receive additional study in the next few years
since the number of men taking statins is very large indeed and there is pressure to increase the number by
lowering LDL cholesterol targets. The mechanism of the interaction is unclear as is the answer to the question,
did this reduce the risk of PC? Thus while these results need confirmation, statins appear to significantly
interfere with the use of PSA cut-offs for diagnostic purposes. Also, there is actually some evidence that statins
do in fact decrease the risk of PC [25,79,80].
- While PSA on average increases with age, across age groups men with greater Body Mass Index (BMI,
weight in kg divided by the square of the height in meters) have significantly lower total PSA. Obesity (generally
BMI > 30) appears to affect the level of PSA mainly in the range of less than 4. This is relevant to the use of
adjusted cut-offs and may also impact diagnostic accuracy [81]. Age and BMI adjusted tables have been
suggested.
The information provided above should be of value to men prior to getting a PSA test and as well, men should
be aware of alternative reasons aside from prostate cancer might explain an elevated PSA. Most physicians will
of course consider these various factors, but men should be informed simply on general principles. Also, an
artificially reduced value could mask the presence of cancer, and it is important that men inform urologists if they
are taking statin drugs or 5-a-reductase inhibitors such as Proscar, Avodart or Propecia. The statin effect was
reported only recently (2005), and many physicians, especially internists and GPs, may be unaware of it,
especially if they do not religiously read the Journal of Urology!
CONCLUSION
There is no clear consensus within the medical community as to the advisability of having a PSA test. One side
maintains that the test saves lives by precipitating early treatment while the other side maintains that the test is
so inaccurate that it often leads to unnecessary biopsies and treatments that can seriously damage a man's
quality of life. Ultimately, the individual must decide whether to have the test or not. This decision should clearly
include a careful consideration of what exactly the individual is prepared to do in the way of follow-up
investigations and treatment if the test indicates a problem.
In view of the fact that the vast majority of treatable prostate cancers grow very slowly there would seem to be
no need to panic or make any rash decisions upon receiving a single bad result (high PSA value). A repeat test
three weeks or so after the initial test would certainly seem prudent. If that is also positive (PSA value above
cut-off point) then other tests such as free PSA, PSA density and, depending on the magnitude of the PSA
value, PSA velocity should also be considered before submitting to a biopsy, which as we shall see in Part II of
this report, is also associated with a whole raft of inadequacies and potential side effects.
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